America expects the rest of the P5+1 countries, to go along with them in pulling out of the Iran deal. How fair is that to Iran, when this deal was supposedly made in good faith?
LWhen thinking about the current situation over the perceived threat to world peace, regional order, Americas regional allies Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Especially two threats in the form of missiles and funding of non state actors especially on the battlefield from Iran you have to decide who to believe.On missile developments and the Trump disavowed nuclear treaty who, The US President and his cabal, the Israeli right and the current Govt, the unelected Kings and Emirs of the Middle East, the autocrat Sisi and so on or the Independent United State's Security and Intelligence services and other 5 Eyes Services, who most of the Trump aligned list say is wrong, unintelligent or should go back to school? Choose for yourself.On funding of non state actors, both the United States and Iran are neck deep in troops and militias all over the region, as well as weapons supply and the furnishing of intelligence.Put yourself in Iran's place, the US the worlds self appointed policeman and occasional guardian of free trade, democracy, free speech and human rights ( but mostly only in countries it does not like, so India, KSA, Egypt, Israel, Nigeria all get a free pass for instance) has with its alliance got them hemmed in.Now I am a fan Iranian people and culture but as a straight up atheist I loath the god fearing totalitarianism of the regime, they are not nice people and their shock troops the Benji and the Revolutionary Guards are an affront to liberty, equality and human rights.How ever geo politically, they are hemmed in by their enemies.On a religious or cultural front, their rivals are Sunnis who persecute members of their sect across the middle east. Their rivals are even less Democratic than Iran.Economically their rivals in the energy sector are the same Sunni group. This Arabian group bar Iraq is desperate to limit the vast supplies of oil and gas under Shire/Iranian influence depressing the market with volume as these Sunni monarchs have once dimensional economies and a future demise staring at them.So back to being hemmed in, they have the KSA on their southern boarder along with the GCC containing huge numbers of US troops, they have the US in Afghanistan on their eastern boarder replete with a 20 year occupation and stalemate which is bleeding regional dysfunction, drugs,crime , refugees etc. They have US backed and invaded Iraq or their Western boarders with thousands of more US troops.On the northern boarders they have Turkey a NATO member, regional rival and again a nominally Sunni regime and unpredictable some time friend of Egypt and Israel.Then there is Russia lead by Putin a man not high on the list of good and predicable neighbours.So how do you defend your patch, dig in or push back on multiple fronts and do this as the regional guardian of Shite minorities.Iran has little choice but to take the fight away from her boarders and to seek unorthodox military, geopolitical and economic allies such as China, Pakistan, Russia, non US dollar denominated oil sales to India, the Koreas, influence in Somalia, Yemen etc. This helps to stretch the political and military capacity of her foes by supporting militia in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Palestine and other places as well as having troops on the ground in Syria which takes it right up to the Mediterranean littoral with the access that gives her to North African Sunnis or more friendly regimes and Europe.Europe sees this and it sees a non military solution in the context of a post fossils fuel peak world.Iranian demography if well managed with soft power will fix the Mullah's more effectively than screwing up again like Sisi/ the Brotherhood, Algeria, Libya, Iraq and so on by destroying structures and creating power vacuums in nations with poor Democratic traditions and peaceful party structures.